I2U2: Forging a Climate-Resilient Minilateralism in a Disrupted World

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I2U2: Forging a Climate-Resilient Minilateralism in a Disrupted World

I2U2: Unlocking Climate-Resilient Minilateralism for a Stronger Global Future

Introduction: In an increasingly volatile and multipolar world, marked by tariff wars, strategic decoupling, and climate-induced disasters, traditional multilateralism has lost momentum. 

About I2U2

  • The I2U2 grouping—comprising India, Israel, UAE, and the US—emerges as a flexible and action-oriented platform to address pressing global challenges. 
  • Amid rising protectionism and supply chain disruptions, a shift towards climate-resilient minilateralism anchored in practical cooperation is both timely and necessary.

Strategic Relevance of I2U2 in Today’s Global Order

  • Fragmentation of the global climate agenda due to geopolitical shocks threatens long-term environmental goals.
  • Green value chains—like solar panels, EV batteries, and rare earth minerals—are highly globalised and vulnerable to disruptions caused by political instability or sudden policy shifts.
  • I2U2, by aligning strategically with the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC), can anchor climate cooperation in a cross-regional and shock-resilient framework.
  • The I2U2 grouping was reinvigorated by the February 2025 meeting between Indian PM Modi and US President Trump, signalling renewed political will.

Why Minilateralism, and Why Now?

  • Minilateral frameworks like I2U2 are:
    • Flexible and function-driven
    • Smaller in membership but big in impact
    • Capable of circumventing paralysis in multilateral institutions (e.g., UNFCCC, WTO)

I2U2 as a Vehicle for the Green Transition

  • The I2U2 platform can advance green manufacturing, job creation, strategic supply chains, and market expansion.
  • It offers agility and complementarity, making it ideal for:
    • Energy security initiatives
    • Water and food security
    • Technology co-development
    • Climate-resilient infrastructure

  • I2U2 amplifies the principle of comparative advantage:
    • US: Capital markets and innovation ecosystems
    • UAE: Hydrocarbon wealth and strategic geography
    • India: Market scale and skilled workforce
    • Israel: Cutting-edge technology and East-West linkages

Strategic Pillars of I2U2 Cooperation

  • Joint Financing and Risk Mitigation
    • Blend resources from:
      • UAE Sovereign Wealth Funds
      • US Private Capital Markets
      • Indian Public and Developmental Finance Institutions
    • Promote interoperable green taxonomies to enable cross-border climate finance.
  • Technology Co-Development and Innovation Ecosystems
    • Foster collaboration in:
      • Solar and wind energy components
      • Alternate EV battery chemistries
      • Green hydrogen technologies
      • Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS)
      • Semiconductors and smart grid tech
    • Establish startup hubs and R&D platforms across I2U2 countries.
  • Green Labour Mobility and Skill Sharing
    • Promote:
      • Cross-border educational exchanges
      • Climate-resilient job creation pipelines
      • Youth-led climate diplomacy
      • Public-private-academic partnerships in green transition sectors
  • Green Infrastructure and Connectivity
    • IMEC as a green corridor to:
      • Support hydrogen infrastructure, EV highways, solar zones, and digital trade
      • Link India to Europe through a transcontinental climate-smart logistics chain
    • Establish governance coordination between I2U2 and IMEC stakeholders.

Strategic Use Cases of I2U2+ Collaboration

I2U2+ Framework: A Modular Approach to Coalition-Building

  • I2U2+ represents a task-based and scalable framework, enabling rotating partnerships with like-minded external actors based on shared interests and capabilities.
  • Unlike expansionist blocs like BRICS+, I2U2+ focuses on specific sectors, reducing political gridlock.

  • Green Hydrogen and Industrial Decarbonisation
    • Partners: Japan, South Korea, Germany
    • Focus:
      • Certification standards
      • Cross-border green hydrogen trade
      • Integration with Europe’s REPowerEU and Fit for 55 agendas
  • Climate-Resilient Agriculture and Food Security
    • Partners: Kenya, Egypt, Brazil, Multilateral Development Banks
    • Objectives:
      • Climate-smart agriculture
      • Bioethanol markets
      • Green food corridors
      • Co-financed infrastructure for agritech
  • Regional Water and Energy Hubs
    • Partners: Jordan, Egypt, Morocco
    • Projects:
      • Solar-powered desalination
      • Water management using Israeli technology
      • Middle East-North Africa grid interconnectivity
  • IMEC as a Green Corridor Governance Platform
    • Partners: Saudi Arabia, Greece, Italy, France, European Commission
    • Roles:
      • Regulatory harmonisation
      • Climate financing via EU Green Deal
      • Smart logistics and digital supply chains
  • Small Modular Reactors (SMRs) and Baseline Clean Power
    • Partners: France, Canada, UAE, India, US
    • Goals:
      • Joint licensing and deployment of SMRs
      • Energy transition planning for emerging economies
      • Data centre and industrial energy supply
      • Canada’s SMR R&D leadership and UAE-USA bilateral nuclear cooperation
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